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ANOMALY DETECTION

Your Energy Just Did WHAT?

Usage spikes are expensive surprises. We catch them in hours—not weeks—so you can fix the problem before your bill makes you cry.

The $200 Surprise

How It Usually Goes

How It Usually Goes

Total damage: $200+ extra over 35 days

  • Your water heater element fails on December 1st
  • It starts running 24/7 trying to heat water
  • Your usage triples. You have no idea.
  • January 5th: $387 bill arrives
  • You call provider. "Usage was higher." Thanks.
How It Goes With Us

How It Goes With Us

Total damage: ~$15 (2 days instead of 35)

  • Your water heater element fails on December 1st
  • By December 2nd, we see the spike pattern
  • You get an alert: "Usage 180% above normal"
  • We flag "24/7 flat usage = likely water heater"
  • You call a plumber. Fixed December 3rd.

This Is What You See

Real alerts from real patterns. Not just "your usage is high"—actual intelligence about what's happening and what to do.

Alert Likely: HVAC Running Constantly

Usage Anomaly Detected

Single-day spike on December 18, 2024: 98.4 kWh vs 42.1 kWh normal. Cost impact +$8.47.

Alert Likely: Water Heater Element Failure

URGENT: Multi-Day Spike

Ongoing issue started December 18, 2024: 156.2 kWh vs 45.0 kWh normal. Total cost impact +$52.84. Action required.

We Don't Just See Spikes—We Read Patterns

Different problems create different signatures. Here's how we tell them apart.

Flat & High (24/7)

Detected

Constant elevated usage with no daily pattern. Likely: Water heater failure, stuck HVAC relay, pool pump issue.

High severity

Night Spikes Only

Detected

High usage during sleeping hours, normal during day. Likely: Space heater left on, HVAC aux heat kicking in at night.

Medium severity

Cycling Pattern

Detected

Usage cycles on/off but runs much more than usual. Likely: HVAC short-cycling, refrigerator compressor issue.

Medium severity

Gradual Creep

Detected

Slow increase over days/weeks—easy to miss. Likely: Dirty HVAC filter, aging appliance, insulation issue.

Medium severity

Single-Day Spike

One unusual day, then back to normal. Likely: Guests, holiday cooking, meter misread, extreme weather.

Low severity

Daytime Only

High usage only during business hours. Likely: Working from home, new appliance during day, solar inverter issue.

Low severity

How Spike Detection Works

It's not magic. It's math, pattern recognition, and actually giving a damn.

  1. Learn Your Baseline

    We analyze 30+ days of your usage to understand what's normal for YOUR home. Not averages. Your actual patterns.

  2. Watch for Anomalies

    Our algorithms flag usage that deviates significantly from your baseline—both sudden spikes and gradual increases.

  3. Alert You Fast

    Get notified within hours of unusual usage—not when your bill arrives 3 weeks later.

  4. Analyze the Cause

    We cross-reference weather, time-of-day patterns, and your appliance profile to suggest likely causes.

  5. Help You Act

    Whether it's calling an HVAC tech, disputing a meter read, or just knowing to check your water heater.

The Actual Math We Use

Here's how we catch problems you'd never notice.

javascript
// Baseline calculation
baseline  = median(last_30_days)
adjusted  = baseline x weather_factor
threshold = adjusted + (std_dev x 2)

// Spike detection
if (today > threshold) -> ALERT
severity = (today - baseline) / baseline
if (3_day_avg > threshold) -> URGENT
42 kWh
Your baseline
±8 kWh
Normal variance
58 kWh
Alert threshold
98 kWh
Today = SPIKE

What Your Provider Says vs Reality

They have the data. They just don't share it like this.

  • They Say

    "Your usage doubled" from provider

    Reality

    They tell you it happened. We tell you WHY and what to do.

  • They Say

    "Check your meter" is their solution

    Reality

    We show you hourly patterns to pinpoint the exact problem.

  • They Say

    "Meters are never wrong"

    Reality

    Smart meter errors exist. We help you document patterns for disputes.

  • They Say

    "Pay now, dispute later"

    Reality

    We arm you with data BEFORE the bill hits.

  • They Say

    "Probably just cold weather"

    Reality

    We compare your spike to your neighbors. If only you spiked, it's not weather.

When It's NOT Your Fault

Smart meters can malfunction. Reads can be estimated wrong. When the data doesn't add up, we help you build your case.

When It's NOT Your Fault

  1. 1

    Usage spike doesn't match neighbors during same weather

    A red flag we help document with anonymized neighbor comparison data.

  2. 2

    Spike happened while you were on vacation

    Hourly usage data shows the anomaly even when the home was empty.

  3. 3

    Pattern impossible for your service

    More kWh than your main breaker physically allows — a documentable error.

  4. 4

    Previous month "estimated", this month "caught up"

    We provide 30-day baseline comparison charts and weather data for the period.

  5. 5

    Usage returned to normal with no changes made

    We compile a PDF report formatted for utility dispute submission.

Important: We can't guarantee dispute outcomes—utilities make the final call. But having actual data vs "I don't think it's right" dramatically improves your chances. PUCT (Texas) regulations require utilities to respond to data-backed disputes within specific timeframes.

Questions About Spike Detection

How quickly will I know about a usage spike?
What counts as a 'spike'?
Can you tell exactly which appliance caused the spike?
What if I think my meter is wrong?
Is this the same as whole-home energy monitoring?
Can I see historical spikes?

Stop Getting Blindsided

The average usage spike costs $50-200 before you even know it happened. We catch them in hours, not weeks.